Central African Republic Likely To See A Highly Significant Increased Role For Extra-Government Non-State Actors Over Next Five Years
Executive Summary:
Due to a large amount of instability, moderate corruption levels, an extremely difficult arena for conducting business, and significant amounts of democracy, it is likely that extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs), such as the anti-government rebel groups in the Central African Republic’s northern region, play the most significant role within the country (represented by its score of 4 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role NSAs play within the Central African Republic will increase moderately to a highly significant role. This is primarily due to continued government efforts to put more state control over the economy and the increasing corruption levels within the mining and timber industries, which will lead to an increase in unlawful NSA activity.
Central African Republic Likely To See A Highly Significant Increased Role For Extra-Government Non-State Actors Over Next Five Years
Executive Summary:Due to a large amount of instability, moderate corruption levels, an extremely difficult arena for conducting business, and significant amounts of democracy, it is likely that extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs), such as the anti-government rebel groups in the Central African Republic’s northern region,
Analytic Confidence: 6
Source Reliability: 9
Discussion: